And the Winner is…

Wow, what a primary season this has been so far. Okay, well this is the only primary that I have ever cared about! (haha)… just to get it all out on the table, I am most likely voting democrat this election, hopefully for Obama. I don’t care to go into the details since political convictions are about as intense as religious ones. let’s just say I was unsatisfied with the results of my republican vote in 2004.

But I tell you what, I remember just this past December watching the news. Barack and Hillary were 1 and 1 … and Edwards was sounding good too! Everything was so close and the analysts predicted that we would have to wait until SUPER TUESDAY to see who the winner of the democratic primary was…

“February!?” I said to myself. “That’s ForEVER from now!”

Well, low and behold, we are likely going to have to wait even longer. Super Tuesday has come and gone and we know nothing new (except that the news stations do a horrible job making predictions). It comes down to two major states, Texas and Ohio.

So, I believe that Hillary will win Texas because of the Latino vote. However, that could potentially be hindered (but probably not) because she just fired her Latino campaign manager. My belief is that Ohio is going to be a HUGE state for both campaigns, especially Barack. He needs it big time.

My guess is that he’ll ride his victories from the Patoimic states and the choice other few for while, but his steam may die down before the Texas and Ohio primaries.

Unfortunately this will probably be decided by Super Delegates – which will be the topic of my next post. Let me give you a hint: I don’t like them.

Until then.

Obama Could WIn New York City!

By BENJAMIN SARLIN
Special to the Sun

Although a statewide win in New York appears unlikely for Senator Obama, he could score a symbolic victory in the February 5 presidential primary by carrying New York City, where recent polls show him to be competitive.

At a rally yesterday in front of City Hall, elected officials and labor leaders pledged their support for the Illinois senator and promised a hard-fought campaign on Senator Clinton’s home turf. State senators Bill Perkins, John Sampson, Kevin Parker, and Eric Adams; Assembly members Hakeem Jeffries and Karim Camara, and Council Member Albert Vann rallied for Mr. Obama, as did a former congressman, Major Owens, and two former council members, Ronnie Eldridge and Wendell Foster.

Mr. Obama faces an uphill battle to win the New York State primary. Mrs. Clinton has won two elections here by large margins, and she commands the support of many prominent elected officials, including Governor Spitzer, Assembly Speaker Sheldon Silver, Council Speaker Christine Quinn, and all four New York members of the Congressional Black Caucus. Partly because of the state’s image as a stronghold for Mrs. Clinton, a win for Mr. Obama in America’s most populous city could be a badge of honor as the two compete for votes beyond the February 5 primaries. Because New York’s Democratic primary divides its delegates proportionally rather than through a winner-take-all system, a strong showing not only would help Mr. Obama in the spin room, but also it would give him a number of delegates.

A WNBC/Marist poll released last week found that although Mrs. Clinton had a 47% to 31% lead over Mr. Obama among likely New York State voters, he was far closer in New York City, drawing 39% of likely voters versus 43% for Senator Clinton. In recent weeks, Mr. Obama’s support has been surging among black voters, a demographic he won 4 to 1 in South Carolina, according to exit polls, and whose turnout and support would likely be crucial in New York City.

Addressing a crowd of hundreds of Obama supporters, speakers yesterday emphasized Mr. Obama’s ability to unite.

“It’s about hope,” Mr. Perkins said. “It’s about believing change can happen despite the establishment’s hold on the process.” He praised the Illinois senator for bringing people who normally do not participate in elections, such as young voters, to the polls.

Mr. Jeffries described the candidate’s South Carolina victory as “a mighty mighty beatdown,” drawing cheers from the audience, who frequently chanted Mr. Obama’s campaign slogan “Yes we can!” in English and Spanish.

Mr. Obama can “absolutely” win the city, Mr. Jeffries said.

“If you look at the fact that Jesse Jackson in 1988 won New York City with a coalition of diverse supporters that is not as diverse as we think Senator Obama would be able to put together, I think he has a very good chance of winning New York City,” he said. “New York City, with a population of 8 million people, has a tremendous amount of delegates, more than many states. Winning New York City is the equivalent of winning several rural or southern states combined, and so the importance of a victory in the five boroughs cannot be overstated.”

read more | digg story

Obama says Bush not solely to blame

To make the government more accountable, Obama said he would post all non-emergency bills online for five days before he signed them into law, allowing Americans a chance to weigh in on the legislation. In addition, he said he would post all meetings between lobbyists and government agencies online. Click the link below to read about why Obama feels the American public shouldn’t point only at Bush.

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Is America ready for a Black Man or White Woman?

Personal stories highlight debate I was listening to one of my favorite radio talk shows this morning and the host posed an interesting question: is America ready for a black man or white woman president? The question was followed by a variety of callers that voiced their opinions, some were valid points, while others were an example of ignorance.

In the end, the overall consensus is “yes”, America is ready. I mean, the very fact that these two individuals alone have raised tens of millions of dollars should be a pretty clear indicator…but I would contend that it is not because we have “progressed” beyond all racial and sexist barriers, but because the desire for a change is so great that anything new and different is simply refreshing.

I could go on and on about why Bush is a horrible president…but people just get tired of the same old banter about the man (a man who I voted for in 2004). Instead let’s just skip that part and understand that Bush is, in a word, a pretty crappy president (the worst?).

America is ready for a refreshing change as it seems quite apparent being a “maverick” in today’s society is a pretty stupid path to choose. Nonetheless, I think the public is fooling themselves if they think the next president will just make everything fine and dandy. Consider that the majority of the country wants to get out of Iraq yet our legislators can’t make it happen (despite democrats having the majority).

In fact, I will argue that it will take at least one term for the next president to begin turning around the American perception in this world, whether he or she is a democrat or republican.

I am looking forward to the next election because it is quite clear that America is ready for a change, be it black, white, yellow, purple, male, female, democrat, republican, or independent.

(picture from cnn.com)

Obama says Bush made U.S. less Safe

Oelwein, Ia. — Bad decisions by President Bush in the Iraq war have made the United States less safe from terrorism, Democratic presidential candidate Barack Obama said Saturday on a campaign visit to Oelwein.

Obama made the statements to about 250 people at City Park.

He cited recent intelligence reports that al Qaida has regained its pre-9/11 capability.
Obama said the war has been a distraction from the country’s focus on terrorist groups, specifically those along the Afghan-Pakistan border.

“We could have significantly reduced our risks had we pursued better polices over the last several years,” the Illinois senator said. “As a consequence of bad decisions, we are more at risk and less safe than we should have been at this point, given the amount of resources that we’ve devoted and the number of U.S. lives lost.”

Obama unveiled a mailing that will go out Monday that includes the telephone numbers of Iowa Republican congressional leaders who have voted against efforts to end the war.

The pamphlet urges people to call their congressmen “and tell them to bring the troops home now, even if it means voting to override a presidential veto.”
Earlier this year, Iowa Republican Sen. Charles Grassley criticized Obama after he made a similar suggestion to Iowa voters at campaign stops.

Grassley said Obama lacks “political class.”

“It’s not senatorial, and if you can’t be senatorial, how can you be presidential?” Grassley said in May. “Generally, when you’re in another state, you don’t take pokes at a fellow senator.”

Obama also made stops Saturday in Elkader and Manchester.

After the Oelwein speech, he criticized comments caught by an open microphone earlier in the week between former North Carolina senator John Edwards and New York senator Hillary Clinton.

Clinton and Edwards suggested that lesser-known candidates should not be part of future debates so that voters could focus on front-runners. Edwards later said he meant that all candidates should get to debate but in smaller groups.

“I don’t know how you would draw the line to say that some can participate and some can’t,” Obama said. “Particularly when you know, historically, Bill Clinton, for example, was at 2 percent in the polls in some of these early contests and ended up showing himself as an extraordinary campaigner as a consequence of him having a chance to be a part of it.
“My attitude is the more the merrier.”

Also Saturday, Obama took part in the First Congressional District Workshop Reception at Northeast Iowa Community College in Peosta.

(story from desmoinesregister.com)