And the Winner is…

Wow, what a primary season this has been so far. Okay, well this is the only primary that I have ever cared about! (haha)… just to get it all out on the table, I am most likely voting democrat this election, hopefully for Obama. I don’t care to go into the details since political convictions are about as intense as religious ones. let’s just say I was unsatisfied with the results of my republican vote in 2004.

But I tell you what, I remember just this past December watching the news. Barack and Hillary were 1 and 1 … and Edwards was sounding good too! Everything was so close and the analysts predicted that we would have to wait until SUPER TUESDAY to see who the winner of the democratic primary was…

“February!?” I said to myself. “That’s ForEVER from now!”

Well, low and behold, we are likely going to have to wait even longer. Super Tuesday has come and gone and we know nothing new (except that the news stations do a horrible job making predictions). It comes down to two major states, Texas and Ohio.

So, I believe that Hillary will win Texas because of the Latino vote. However, that could potentially be hindered (but probably not) because she just fired her Latino campaign manager. My belief is that Ohio is going to be a HUGE state for both campaigns, especially Barack. He needs it big time.

My guess is that he’ll ride his victories from the Patoimic states and the choice other few for while, but his steam may die down before the Texas and Ohio primaries.

Unfortunately this will probably be decided by Super Delegates – which will be the topic of my next post. Let me give you a hint: I don’t like them.

Until then.

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Obama Could WIn New York City!

By BENJAMIN SARLIN
Special to the Sun

Although a statewide win in New York appears unlikely for Senator Obama, he could score a symbolic victory in the February 5 presidential primary by carrying New York City, where recent polls show him to be competitive.

At a rally yesterday in front of City Hall, elected officials and labor leaders pledged their support for the Illinois senator and promised a hard-fought campaign on Senator Clinton’s home turf. State senators Bill Perkins, John Sampson, Kevin Parker, and Eric Adams; Assembly members Hakeem Jeffries and Karim Camara, and Council Member Albert Vann rallied for Mr. Obama, as did a former congressman, Major Owens, and two former council members, Ronnie Eldridge and Wendell Foster.

Mr. Obama faces an uphill battle to win the New York State primary. Mrs. Clinton has won two elections here by large margins, and she commands the support of many prominent elected officials, including Governor Spitzer, Assembly Speaker Sheldon Silver, Council Speaker Christine Quinn, and all four New York members of the Congressional Black Caucus. Partly because of the state’s image as a stronghold for Mrs. Clinton, a win for Mr. Obama in America’s most populous city could be a badge of honor as the two compete for votes beyond the February 5 primaries. Because New York’s Democratic primary divides its delegates proportionally rather than through a winner-take-all system, a strong showing not only would help Mr. Obama in the spin room, but also it would give him a number of delegates.

A WNBC/Marist poll released last week found that although Mrs. Clinton had a 47% to 31% lead over Mr. Obama among likely New York State voters, he was far closer in New York City, drawing 39% of likely voters versus 43% for Senator Clinton. In recent weeks, Mr. Obama’s support has been surging among black voters, a demographic he won 4 to 1 in South Carolina, according to exit polls, and whose turnout and support would likely be crucial in New York City.

Addressing a crowd of hundreds of Obama supporters, speakers yesterday emphasized Mr. Obama’s ability to unite.

“It’s about hope,” Mr. Perkins said. “It’s about believing change can happen despite the establishment’s hold on the process.” He praised the Illinois senator for bringing people who normally do not participate in elections, such as young voters, to the polls.

Mr. Jeffries described the candidate’s South Carolina victory as “a mighty mighty beatdown,” drawing cheers from the audience, who frequently chanted Mr. Obama’s campaign slogan “Yes we can!” in English and Spanish.

Mr. Obama can “absolutely” win the city, Mr. Jeffries said.

“If you look at the fact that Jesse Jackson in 1988 won New York City with a coalition of diverse supporters that is not as diverse as we think Senator Obama would be able to put together, I think he has a very good chance of winning New York City,” he said. “New York City, with a population of 8 million people, has a tremendous amount of delegates, more than many states. Winning New York City is the equivalent of winning several rural or southern states combined, and so the importance of a victory in the five boroughs cannot be overstated.”

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Is America ready for a Black Man or White Woman?

Personal stories highlight debate I was listening to one of my favorite radio talk shows this morning and the host posed an interesting question: is America ready for a black man or white woman president? The question was followed by a variety of callers that voiced their opinions, some were valid points, while others were an example of ignorance.

In the end, the overall consensus is “yes”, America is ready. I mean, the very fact that these two individuals alone have raised tens of millions of dollars should be a pretty clear indicator…but I would contend that it is not because we have “progressed” beyond all racial and sexist barriers, but because the desire for a change is so great that anything new and different is simply refreshing.

I could go on and on about why Bush is a horrible president…but people just get tired of the same old banter about the man (a man who I voted for in 2004). Instead let’s just skip that part and understand that Bush is, in a word, a pretty crappy president (the worst?).

America is ready for a refreshing change as it seems quite apparent being a “maverick” in today’s society is a pretty stupid path to choose. Nonetheless, I think the public is fooling themselves if they think the next president will just make everything fine and dandy. Consider that the majority of the country wants to get out of Iraq yet our legislators can’t make it happen (despite democrats having the majority).

In fact, I will argue that it will take at least one term for the next president to begin turning around the American perception in this world, whether he or she is a democrat or republican.

I am looking forward to the next election because it is quite clear that America is ready for a change, be it black, white, yellow, purple, male, female, democrat, republican, or independent.

(picture from cnn.com)

20+ years of a Bush or Clinton…ugh

North façade of the White House, seen from Pennsylvania Avenue. A visiting head of state enters the house for a state dinner through the North Portico. Tourists finish their tour by exiting through the North Portico. The house was originally built without porticos. Before construction of the north portico in 1824, the north façade looked similar to Leinster House shown in the picture immediately below. Both James Hoban–original architect of the White House, and Benjamin Henry Latrobe who developed plans for its rebuilding after the 1814 fire, proposed north and south porticos. Both porticos, as built, are the work of Hoban.While surfing through my favorite online news outlets, I read the usual headlines of horrible death, empty threats, and grave tragedy. In the effort to end my news session on a “good note”, I went on over the the Politics section. There were many stories, but I decided to read up on the presidential candidates (they campaign earlier each election) and what they did over the holiday. Sure enough, the best selling authors, er…politicians, like Obama and Clinton were out swooning the crowds with fancy rhetoric on how they will make America better than ever before. Candidates like Romney and Brownback were out mingling with potential voters, taking candid photos and flashing big smiles.

One thing is for sure, the buzz of this upcoming election is like none I have seen before. Which got me thinking…

I know that I have not been around a very long time, but I came to a realization that during my entire life, there has been either a Bush or a Clinton in the Whitehouse! To be honest, I am a little wary of it all. I am ready for change. I pride myself on being objective, but I can’t shake the feeling of this trend possibly continuing … a quarter of a century with just one of two names leading this country (and that’s not including Bush Sr.’s time as Vice President).

I am happy to see we have such a large selection of candidates for 2008. At least the initial stages of this whole process will include names (and opinions) other than that of a Bush or a Clinton. I must admit that sometimes it feels like this country is trapped in the twilight-zone.